PogoCheats Forum

Pogo Cheats => General Pogo Discussion => Topic started by: bobbysbackup on May 19, 2005, 07:18:11 PM

Title: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: bobbysbackup on May 19, 2005, 07:18:11 PM
My wife was playing Double Dueces poker this evening... look how close she came to hitting the jackpot:

(https://www.pogocheats.net/proxy/?http://members.aol.com/bobbysbackup/images/vpoker.jpg)

Too bad they weren't in the right order!
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: Jeffer on May 19, 2005, 07:37:10 PM
Dang.  I have to say I've never seen one that close.
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: smiles29 on May 19, 2005, 10:20:55 PM
WOW!!!!!!!!!  that is really close. 

from my understanding i dont think it matters what order its in, but it does all have to be a royal flush and spell it out.  i could be wrong, but i dont know.  good luck though.  O0
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: Jeffer on May 20, 2005, 08:45:56 AM
The Royal has to be sequential (10,J,Q,K,A) and in spades and all the cards need the "JACKPOT" printing on them.
Only Pogo knows how often the Video Poker deals a spade card with a JP on it.

I'd guess the odds of hitting the jp are in the tens of millions to one.
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: smiles29 on May 20, 2005, 06:51:44 PM
things that make you go hmmmmmmmm in the night.
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: Jeffer on May 20, 2005, 08:28:21 PM
You all realize I'm going to sit down on a slow afternoon and work it out.... 8)
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: bobbysbackup on May 20, 2005, 10:47:44 PM
Yep, Jeffer is right.  But, that doesn't stop me from playing Video Poker....  I'm pretty good at it, and follow basic video poker strategy when playing, BUT, I always  disregard that policy if ANY of the jackpot cards are in their proper location.

If remember my college statistics from way back, I would imagine the odds of hitting the jackpot would be 1:(52*51*50*49*48*2*2*2*2*2) or 1 chance out of 9,980,006,400.  The *2's in there are because each royal spade card has a 50:50 chance of being a jackpot card.  So, basically you have a 1 in 10 BILLION chance of winning the video poker jackpot (IF I've done my math right...) on the first spin... then, it would get much more complicated to figure out the odds on the redeal (and I don't feel like calculating it at 2:00am at night!)  But, it would still be a huge number.  And you thought the Mega Millions lottery was tough  and it's odds are *only* 1:135,145,920...  AND you win MILLIONS there, and not the measly $4,999 max that Pogo gives you!
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: Jeffer on May 21, 2005, 08:12:38 AM
Your math is right.  You obviously paid attention in your college stats classes.

I could write quite a bit about Video Poker Odds.  But I'll just say I know some people who do this stuff for a living, and it's harder that it looks when you take draws into account.  I'll ask them early next week. 
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: pogoisevil on May 21, 2005, 02:00:40 PM
Well, no jackpot (bummer) :-[ .....but congrats to yer wife on winning the 10K tokies!! O0
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: Jeffer on May 21, 2005, 03:25:00 PM
OK.  the number I've initially came up with is 1,024,000,000 to one.  Better odds than bobby's number but still not good.....

1.01 percent of Royal flushes are sequential.  Then adding in it has to be in spades and bobby's multiplier and you get this number.  More or less.  I'd try to get a more accurate number but when you get past a billion who really cares???
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: avs1roy33 on May 21, 2005, 05:34:34 PM
well, someone wins those poker jackpots....the jackpot right now is only $740.
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: smiles29 on May 21, 2005, 10:27:40 PM
ya'll "mathletes"  like to take all the fun out of things huh ?     ???
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: smiles29 on May 22, 2005, 09:40:11 AM
thats right.  very good point barbara.  :P
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: Jeffer on May 22, 2005, 10:17:50 AM
Hey I bought $20 in powerball tickets yesterday...

If you don't play the odds are 0.  ;D
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: Homer on May 22, 2005, 10:51:45 AM
Nope. >:(
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: Jeffer on May 22, 2005, 11:18:50 AM
$0.  ::)

Although, I'm sure I got $20 in entertainment thinking about what I'd do with the money.

I'd make a really good millionaire.  8)
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: smiles29 on May 26, 2005, 11:21:02 AM
awww.  so sorry barbara.
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: Jeffer on May 27, 2005, 06:43:21 PM
I just noticed that.

The numbers I got off the fortune cookies did zilch on Wednesday.

I should get my money back from PF Changs....

Good luck to everyone!!
Title: Re: Look what my wife *almost* won
Post by: sdunkin on May 27, 2005, 10:33:50 PM
wow